RUNUP THE NUMBERS
Two starts back, Runup The Colors looked like she might be ready to make a move forward. The 9+ was a likely target and a couple of points better seemed possible. However, she surprised by exploding to a 4+.
Not many fillies ever get down to that level. If they do, even fewer are physically capable of maintaining that level. Even in Runup could have maintained that high level, it is highly unlikely she would have done it in her next start. That 5 point top was too big a move to recover from after only three weeks rest.
At 1-2 and giving away 7-9 lbs, Runup was a throw-out. Even though the 4 overlaid the field, the winner of the race had an 8 to go back to and ended up winning with an 11. It was better to take a strong position against Runup.
click here to download the sheet for Runup The Colors.